H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Path ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually enhanced decently because Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a typhoon on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward away from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was initially expected to be recorded by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, however computer assistance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) ended up being a big and exceptionally effective cyclone that caused enormous damage and considerable death. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Cyclone Andrew from 1992.
Typhoon Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Hurricane Katrina was due to flooding brought on by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, as well as big areas in neighboring parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That implies hurricane conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current warnings and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (in your area as much as 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands might see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area approximately 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (in your area up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall might trigger flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- consisting of Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center said.
Air Force Reserve Cyclone Hunters observed Norma's center situated offshore just west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some areas of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the cyclone center.
Norma is expected to be somewhat weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that could bring lethal conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand individuals, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually activated cyclone warnings for parts of the Leeward Islands, a chain of a number of island nations and territories in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 miles per hour.
Neither storm is a threat to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved maximum sustained winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Hurricane Center stated at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 typhoon lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- including Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended outside approximately 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outside approximately 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the third hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic given that 1900, according to hurricane expert Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study researcher in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane professionals formerly warned typhoons could form in unusual areas later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm rise of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most severe hazards and could lead to flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, however could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is more than likely.
Conditions will begin to improve from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the region.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the basic Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy